Context: August closed at
$4,666.77 against the $7,500 peak-month plan, $2,833 short. That is the second consecutive peak month missed and by a wider margin than the first: July closed $4,065 vs $6,000 (−32.2%), August −37.8%. The mid-month read said “raise Brand first.” Month-close data says Brand alone cannot close this. Brand is genuinely budget-capped —
30.4% of impressions lost to budget, only 3.5% to rank — and it is the cheapest conversion in the portfolio at
$26.82 CPA, but it spent just $590 all month. Recovering its lost share scales it to roughly $860, about
+$270, under 10% of the gap. The only campaign large enough to absorb the rest is Sign Blanks Material: $3,648 for 10.7 conversions, a
$340.66 CPA on 11.6% IS with 59.2% lost to rank. Shopping (Warning Signs) has no budget headroom at all — 0% lost to budget, 76.5% to rank. Read together:
the $7,500 plan is not deployable at current efficiency. Uncap Brand — that is free upside — but do not push Sign Blanks to fill the plan. $22,236 of the $50,000 envelope remains against a $17,000 Sep–Dec plan, so there is $5,236 of unallocated room; the account has now shown two straight months that it cannot spend $6,000–$7,500 profitably, so reprofile rather than force the fill.
Analysis written 2026-09-02 · figures above are current through Oct 18